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they will do better than john mccain. we may not do as well as we did in 2008 but we doing plenty well and well enough to win the race. >>chris: on florida, president obama is down by more than a point in the polls but you make the final advertising by the campaign there in florida, why not in the state you must win? >> we feel very competitive in the state of florida. there have been many polls and in all of the polls, the battleground state polls in the last 48 hours we are ahead in 90 percent including florida. there are a couple of mixed polls in florida but we are very pleased with where we are in early voting. we will go in election day with a large leap so we are competitive in florida and they know it. they are spending the time there. if they were comfortable in florida they would not spend as much time and money as they are spending. >>chris: when will we know who the next president is? will it come sooner than expected? or will this stretch into wednesday morning? >>guest: i think some of the cases are very clo
they will do better than john mccain. we may not do as well as we did in 2008 but we doing plenty well and well enough to win the race. >>chris: on florida, president obama is down by more than a point in the polls but you make the final advertising by the campaign there in florida, why not in the state you must win? >> we feel very competitive in the state of florida. there have been many polls and in all of the polls, the battleground state polls in the last 48 hours we are ahead...
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Nov 4, 2012
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states, so, yes, they will do better than john mccain did and we may not do as well as we did in 2008, but, we are doing plenty well and well enough to win the race. >> chris: let me ask you, briefly, about florida, where president obama is down by more than a point, in the polls. and yet you are making your final advertising by the campaign there. in florida. why not in the state you must win? >> well, first of all, we feel very competitive in the state of florida. there have been a spate of polls, in fact in all of these polls, battle ground state polls that came out the last 48 hours, we are ahead in 90% of them, including florida. and there were a couple of mixed polls in florida, but we are very pleased with where we are in early voting. and, we believe we are -- there, too, on election day, we'll go in with a large lead. and we are very competitive in florida and they know it because they are spending a lot of time there. if they were comfortable in florida, they wouldn't be spending as much time and money as they are spending, down there today. >> chris: david, when will we kno
states, so, yes, they will do better than john mccain did and we may not do as well as we did in 2008, but, we are doing plenty well and well enough to win the race. >> chris: let me ask you, briefly, about florida, where president obama is down by more than a point, in the polls. and yet you are making your final advertising by the campaign there. in florida. why not in the state you must win? >> well, first of all, we feel very competitive in the state of florida. there have been...
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Nov 3, 2012
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these were his predictions for states that john mccain was definitely going to win. >> john mccain is leading in the states he's got to lead in like ohio and florida. we'll pick up pennsylvania. we think we have a good shot at virginia, new hampshire, new mexico, nevada. that's the pathway to victory for john mccain. >> see how all those states were blue? his confident predictions that john mccain was going to win all those states in 2008 were wrong in every single instance. they lost every single one of those states. even though it seemed like he was going to win all of those states the day before the election. he didn't say like he felt they were going to win. he said they have the polling data that showed they were going to win and they did not win in any of those states. this is just part of the way the game is played. it's just bluffing. and that is important context for understanding what's going on in the last four days of the campaign. there are patterns to how presidential elections end. some of the same stuff happens every four years. specifically, in 1992, the republican ca
these were his predictions for states that john mccain was definitely going to win. >> john mccain is leading in the states he's got to lead in like ohio and florida. we'll pick up pennsylvania. we think we have a good shot at virginia, new hampshire, new mexico, nevada. that's the pathway to victory for john mccain. >> see how all those states were blue? his confident predictions that john mccain was going to win all those states in 2008 were wrong in every single instance. they...
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caller: i voted for john mccain. guest: there is a difference between pollsters and the republican polls. when we are wrong in our numbers, our clients lose and we do not get new clients. we are careful in how we are analyzing the survey. with the public polls, they have a different goal. the more they generate stories, the better it is. we have moved back to a 2004. so many of our stories are generated by pulling numbers as opposed to being generated by the campaign. i differ in terms of controlling on party. they do not control for party. you have seen in a short period of time, party identification jumping a good 10 points. you are generating a story rather than generating reality in terms of polling. all of the polls start coming back to the center. that is with the averaging does work. as you get closer to the election, surveys have a new ones because of the weighting on party. in 2008, we ended up with five polls that were exactly the same. guest: has citizen united affected the outcome? absolutely. it has made
caller: i voted for john mccain. guest: there is a difference between pollsters and the republican polls. when we are wrong in our numbers, our clients lose and we do not get new clients. we are careful in how we are analyzing the survey. with the public polls, they have a different goal. the more they generate stories, the better it is. we have moved back to a 2004. so many of our stories are generated by pulling numbers as opposed to being generated by the campaign. i differ in terms of...
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Oct 30, 2012
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karen, let me play you something that john mccain said today. he was in ohio supporting the gop senate candidate but said very nasty words about the president and the 9/11 libya attack. take a listen to this. >> this president is either engaged in a massive cover-up concealing from the american people or is so grossly incompetent that he's not qualified to be the commander in chief of our armed forces. >> karen, like many of us, we respect mr. mccain's service to this nation both politically and militarily, but is it really appropriate on a day like this to start giving a commentary about the president of the united states in those tones? >> and also it's just very disappointing, martin. i think this is the complete political transformation of john mccain that we've seen. i used -- like you, i have had great respect for john mccain and he knows as well as anyone, and condoleezza rice herself went out and made the point in terms of the things that happened in benghazi and that information was changesiing, th that's what's happening. you have to g
karen, let me play you something that john mccain said today. he was in ohio supporting the gop senate candidate but said very nasty words about the president and the 9/11 libya attack. take a listen to this. >> this president is either engaged in a massive cover-up concealing from the american people or is so grossly incompetent that he's not qualified to be the commander in chief of our armed forces. >> karen, like many of us, we respect mr. mccain's service to this nation both...
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Oct 28, 2012
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mccain in 2008. and here's the recycled hand he work for mccain against primary opponent mitt romney. >> mitt romney seems to change positions like the wind. he tells florida he supports the bush tax cuts. but as massachusetts governor romney refused to take a position on the bush tax cuts. where does mitt romney? whichever way the wind blows. chris: and when we come back we've got a perfect storm coming ashore. that could affect things. and we have the big jobs number coming next friday. if it's bad, could it tip the election? plus scoops and predictions right from the notebooks of these top chris: welcome back. this friday, we're going to get last unemployment report before the election. will it continue the promising trend we saw last month when the rate droppedown to 7.8%? the lowest since president obama took office. voters, optimism, favor barack obama, in the last nbc "wall street journal" national poll. voters who expect the economy to improve in the next 12 months are for president obama. by
mccain in 2008. and here's the recycled hand he work for mccain against primary opponent mitt romney. >> mitt romney seems to change positions like the wind. he tells florida he supports the bush tax cuts. but as massachusetts governor romney refused to take a position on the bush tax cuts. where does mitt romney? whichever way the wind blows. chris: and when we come back we've got a perfect storm coming ashore. that could affect things. and we have the big jobs number coming next friday....
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mccain didn't in 2008. this was a 10 or 11 point race in 2008. now two, three, four would be a lot for obama. you can go back to 2004, bush won a squeaker. in 2000 gore won it by 4,000. iowa is two states. we say it's a progressive tradition. there's a ton of social conservative, religious social conservatives in western iowa and there's also a lot of these white working class middle class voters as a demo brafic have turned hard on obama across the country. iowa, they are particularly pronounced in that state. a lot more for romney to work with. your point is key, i mentioned this last week on the show. in the 1980s iowa was an exception. the national economy was strong. farm economy collapsed in iowa and iowa took it out on george bush sr. we might see the opposite where the economy is weak in a lot of places but stronger in iowa. >> iowa voted for revenge. interesting. >> great reason to vote. >> to your point that's why the social consciences that's why mike huckabee and rick santorum do well in iowa. i
mccain didn't in 2008. this was a 10 or 11 point race in 2008. now two, three, four would be a lot for obama. you can go back to 2004, bush won a squeaker. in 2000 gore won it by 4,000. iowa is two states. we say it's a progressive tradition. there's a ton of social conservative, religious social conservatives in western iowa and there's also a lot of these white working class middle class voters as a demo brafic have turned hard on obama across the country. iowa, they are particularly...
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john mccain. john kasich the governor, senator portman, senator graham. republicans from all over the country. they are all going to leave here and fan out over the country in support of mitt romney. i will be in wisconsin tomorrow. florida the next day. maybe pennsylvania. they are going to probably decide that as we move along. but the idea was all of the supporters here tonight supporting mitt romney and paul ryan and starting tomorrow morning they will all be in the different parts of the country probably mostly in the swing states. >> greta: is there any way to when he sure, ohio tonight? i know that everyone on the republican side says governor romney is going to win and everybody on president obama's side says he is going to win. how do you measure it tonigh >> i mean you know obviously, i guess an obama rally you would feel differently. at this rally it seems like he has enormous enthusiasm. this has the feeling of a winning campaign. the enthusiasm here tonight was tremendous. if this s a is swing state i feel good about it even if the polls abou
john mccain. john kasich the governor, senator portman, senator graham. republicans from all over the country. they are all going to leave here and fan out over the country in support of mitt romney. i will be in wisconsin tomorrow. florida the next day. maybe pennsylvania. they are going to probably decide that as we move along. but the idea was all of the supporters here tonight supporting mitt romney and paul ryan and starting tomorrow morning they will all be in the different parts of the...
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directly ahead, senator john mccain on who will win the presidency. he has some passionate thoughts about the libya situation. and later on. bernard mcquirk forced to evacuate hit home on long >> personal story segment. there's perhaps known more qualified in the country right now to speak about the last days of a presidential campaign than senator john mccain. four years ago he thought he would win the presidency. no he has some very strong views on what will happen tuesday night. also senator mccain is furious, furious about libya. i spoke with him last night. senator, first of all, are you surprised that the libyan story hasn't gotten much tracks 2349 media? >> i guess surprise isn't the word. i'm very, very deeply disappointed. but i guess that i'm not shocked about it. but it sure is reprehensible. >> do you think it's a protect the president play by the mainstream media where they just don't care about libya? >> i think it's some combination of that and other factors. but i can tell you, this is a case where four brave americans lost their lives
directly ahead, senator john mccain on who will win the presidency. he has some passionate thoughts about the libya situation. and later on. bernard mcquirk forced to evacuate hit home on long >> personal story segment. there's perhaps known more qualified in the country right now to speak about the last days of a presidential campaign than senator john mccain. four years ago he thought he would win the presidency. no he has some very strong views on what will happen tuesday night. also...
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in 2008, john mccain visited pennsylvania the sunday before the election. he didn't make it. in 2004, bush visited pennsylvania the day before. he did. '96, bob dole was in pennsylvania the friday before. he didn't do well before. george herbert walker bush was in the state the day of the election in '92. he didn't make it. so it seems like it is republican tradition. and how is it going to turn out for them in your opinion? you're the expert on these things. >> it is the pursuit of fool's gold. they tried it since 1992. they haven't carried the state since 1998. the president is somewhere at about 50 and he is like five points, four points ahead. a lot of people have voted, as alicia said, you're not going to make that up. they got to look some place else and they decided to go to pennsylvania. they are talking about michigan. the president is well ahead in michigan. they are talking about wisconsin. >> in all these other states, bob, it is within the margin of error. so it is based a lot on who turns out. >> it'll be based on that. but one thing to say is i trust the nbc po
in 2008, john mccain visited pennsylvania the sunday before the election. he didn't make it. in 2004, bush visited pennsylvania the day before. he did. '96, bob dole was in pennsylvania the friday before. he didn't do well before. george herbert walker bush was in the state the day of the election in '92. he didn't make it. so it seems like it is republican tradition. and how is it going to turn out for them in your opinion? you're the expert on these things. >> it is the pursuit of...
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barack obama had 53% to john mccain's 43%. what does it tell you? for weeks we have been hearing the media paint a storyline while obama is ahead in early voting. now we know that isn't true. particularly in states like ohio, florida, ohio -- >> dana: nevada. >> andrea: same thing, nevada. ohio fewer dems voted in ohio compared to 2008. 30,000 more republicans have voted. if obama had that lead with mccain and long at 2008, but only led by three points with likely voters romney leads the likely voters by five points. he won bison overall. if you look at the same panorama, it's all over. >> bob: in reality, you talk about the final vote in 2008 versus a week left to go to vote. people who vote early. you have to separate absenteeism from early voting. two separate things. people who vote early are senior citizens and they normally do. >> andrea: who leads with senior citizens? mitt romney leads. >> bob: right. >> andrea: independent and women. 3-point turnout advantage this time around swayed ten points to -- >> bob: you are taking something on elect
barack obama had 53% to john mccain's 43%. what does it tell you? for weeks we have been hearing the media paint a storyline while obama is ahead in early voting. now we know that isn't true. particularly in states like ohio, florida, ohio -- >> dana: nevada. >> andrea: same thing, nevada. ohio fewer dems voted in ohio compared to 2008. 30,000 more republicans have voted. if obama had that lead with mccain and long at 2008, but only led by three points with likely voters romney...
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john mccain says it's the latest probably not the last bit of information. all along it was not a spontaneous attack. >> it was a classic scandal where almost every day or every few days another shoe drops. it could be as bad as watergate but one of the veterans said nobody died in watergate. they have got pint. >>> this latest bit of information comes one day after we learn the security team in benghazi sent a secret table to the state department dated august 16th saying with their small security force they would not be able to fend off a terrorist attack. >>> it is direct evidence that will not relie on the evidence. it will not defend on the consulate. it is direct that it will the fbi is still conducting their investigation and the president isn't participating in the investigation. he is anticipating the results that can happen and lessons they learn to ensure it won't happen again. >> peter doocy reporting live for us. >> deadly overnight. the death toll stands at 90 and the number could in fact climb. more than 4 and a half million people are still wi
john mccain says it's the latest probably not the last bit of information. all along it was not a spontaneous attack. >> it was a classic scandal where almost every day or every few days another shoe drops. it could be as bad as watergate but one of the veterans said nobody died in watergate. they have got pint. >>> this latest bit of information comes one day after we learn the security team in benghazi sent a secret table to the state department dated august 16th saying with...
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Oct 27, 2012
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mccain tw 2008, appears to be a affluent suburbs. once upon a time affluent suburbs were solid republican territory, george h.w. bush in 1988 got big margins and carried states like michigan, ohio, california, in the four suburban counties outside philadelphia, he got 61% of the vote. zeroed out the democratic margin in the city of philadelphia. if you look at over the last 20 years, there's been a democratic trend in the affluent suburbs, and so president barack obama carried those four counties in pennsylvania with 57% of the vote if he carried the state. mitt romney grew up in bloomfield hills. >> a suburb of detroit. >> well, i grew up in the same area, went to the same high school so i'm quite familiar with it. he seems to be doing better. i if you look at the battleground poll -- the pew research poll where you have a big sample. so if you have a subsample you have some confidence the numbers are good. you see that romney, post-october 3rd debate, is carrying apparently statistically significant margins. people with incomes ove
mccain tw 2008, appears to be a affluent suburbs. once upon a time affluent suburbs were solid republican territory, george h.w. bush in 1988 got big margins and carried states like michigan, ohio, california, in the four suburban counties outside philadelphia, he got 61% of the vote. zeroed out the democratic margin in the city of philadelphia. if you look at over the last 20 years, there's been a democratic trend in the affluent suburbs, and so president barack obama carried those four...
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Nov 4, 2012
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or 5,000 and obama camp said he could only do, james john mccain, because e could not get the large event of people that senator obama could, and in the final weekend in cleveland, then senator obama had 80,000 people in cleveland. he is not getting anything near that in the final weekend. he had a rally in florida with a singer trying to get celebrity appeal with 20,000 people. there is a large group here still gathering and he will be here in a couple of hours in cincinnati. the ultimate rockstar is bill clinton in a chilly new hampshire city with 14,000. we have seen president obama adapt the clinton economic plan, the balanced approach in terms of deficits. and today he employed the anthem of bill clinton, playing at the end of the clinton obama rally in new hampshire "don't stop thinking about tomorrow." a song we heard in 1992 and 1996. i heard more veteran reporters saying they had not heard that song in 10 or 12 years and they are bringing it back. you can see president obama trying to ride president clinton's coat tails. remarkable when you consider four years ago during th
or 5,000 and obama camp said he could only do, james john mccain, because e could not get the large event of people that senator obama could, and in the final weekend in cleveland, then senator obama had 80,000 people in cleveland. he is not getting anything near that in the final weekend. he had a rally in florida with a singer trying to get celebrity appeal with 20,000 people. there is a large group here still gathering and he will be here in a couple of hours in cincinnati. the ultimate...
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that is the exact same number that obama beat john mccain by in ohio. so what we're saying -- karl rove is saying that all the polling numbers say one thing but when push comes to shove, who is planning on voting for whom, the number goes the other way to romney. quick point on the campaigns. i'm thrilled they're back. they're both back at it. mitt romney, went into it and brought things back where they should be. they should be on the economy. we have that huge jobs number tomorrow morning. romney points out that he is all over the jobs, he is the one that creates jobs. obama went to a weird place. talking about green energy, i don't know where -- >> dana: we'll talk about that later. >> bob: can i point out -- >> dana: kimberly and greg haven't had a chance to talk. >> bob: sorry. >> dana: kimberly, karl's prediction was he believes that it will be 51-48 with romney winning, carrying at least 279 electoral college votes. your thoughts? >> kimberly: romney by 3%. i think he will go for it, he will win with 280 electoral votes. i believe he is going to
that is the exact same number that obama beat john mccain by in ohio. so what we're saying -- karl rove is saying that all the polling numbers say one thing but when push comes to shove, who is planning on voting for whom, the number goes the other way to romney. quick point on the campaigns. i'm thrilled they're back. they're both back at it. mitt romney, went into it and brought things back where they should be. they should be on the economy. we have that huge jobs number tomorrow morning....
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still, she was better than john mccain. and you know in the hillary obama debate, the questions going question's going to obama were so thoughtful saturday night live did a sketch on it with hillary being asked these incredibly intricate, complicated policy questions and then the moderator asking obama if he would like another pillow. [laughter] and that was a fair summary and the stunning thing of last week's debate was and how poorly obama did. he is as good as he ever was. [applause] if john mccain had been on the stage with him, we would be the ones -- [inaudible] that is how magnificent mitt romney was in was the first time obama had to face a tough opponent, the first time. his whole life he has been, as he says, make any fast moves and he looked home and why people will love you. by his own account he was smoking pot at occidental university not particularly applying himself and manages to transfer to one of the premier universities and america, colombia and from there he rockets to harvard law school and president o
still, she was better than john mccain. and you know in the hillary obama debate, the questions going question's going to obama were so thoughtful saturday night live did a sketch on it with hillary being asked these incredibly intricate, complicated policy questions and then the moderator asking obama if he would like another pillow. [laughter] and that was a fair summary and the stunning thing of last week's debate was and how poorly obama did. he is as good as he ever was. [applause] if john...
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directly ahead, senator john mccain on who will win the presidency. he has some passionate thoughts about the libya situation. and later on. bernard mcquirk forced to evacuate hit home on long gecko (clearing throat) thank you, mr. speaker, uh, members of congress. in celebration of over 75 years of our government employees insurance company, or geico...as most of you know it. ...i propose savings for everyone! i'm talking hundreds here... and furthermore.. newcaster: breaking news. the gecko is demanding free pudding. and political parties that are actual parties! with cake! and presents! ah, that was good. too bad nobody could hear me. geico. fifteen minutes could save you fifteen percent or more on car insurance. >> personal story segment. there's perhaps known more qualified in the country right now to speak about the last days of a presidential campaign than senator john mccain. four years ago he thought he would win the presidency. no he has some very strong views on what will happen tuesday night. also senator mccain is furious, furious about l
directly ahead, senator john mccain on who will win the presidency. he has some passionate thoughts about the libya situation. and later on. bernard mcquirk forced to evacuate hit home on long gecko (clearing throat) thank you, mr. speaker, uh, members of congress. in celebration of over 75 years of our government employees insurance company, or geico...as most of you know it. ...i propose savings for everyone! i'm talking hundreds here... and furthermore.. newcaster: breaking news. the gecko...
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still she was better than john mccain. and even in the obama hillary debate the questions going to obama were so soft ball saturday night live did a sketch on it with hillary being asked these intricate complicated policy questions and the moderator asking obama if he would like another fellow. that was a fair summary and the stunning thing was not how poorly obama did was the other one. [applause] >> if john mccain had been on the stage, we would be the ones with long faces. it was how magnificent mitt romney was and the first time obama had to face a tough opponent. his whole life he has been as long as you don't make fast moves white people will love you. by his account he was smoking pot and manage to transfer to one of the premier universities in america and from there rockets to harvard law school and president, only been president for two weeks and wednesday nobel priest -- peace prize. this was the first test he faced. he didn't do so well. you see it with stacy dash. it is as if as i wrote in my column they spend
still she was better than john mccain. and even in the obama hillary debate the questions going to obama were so soft ball saturday night live did a sketch on it with hillary being asked these intricate complicated policy questions and the moderator asking obama if he would like another fellow. that was a fair summary and the stunning thing was not how poorly obama did was the other one. [applause] >> if john mccain had been on the stage, we would be the ones with long faces. it was how...
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helped him in 2008 against john mccain, who seemed so frenetic with the financial crisis. obama, mr. cool, mr. laid back. looks like he is calm in a crisis. you're saying this is a different obama we're seeing? >> yes. when the sun is shining, reality is different. what happened is that we heard the mantra for a long time now. we always knew this would be a close race. well, maybe his handlers did but obama never did. you have to believe inside. now came denver. he began to understand, this is reality. he is in danger of losing, and everything that supported him, all of that sense of vast crowds, imagine what happened yesterday in colorado. i you took a look admit mitt's immense crowds, that evehicled the same tremendous passion that obama had, only it was mitt romney. so you have this enraged president. and it comes out he can't stop, just as biden cannot stop, you cannot stop behaving inappropriately. >> dan. >> the president's campaign but out a 20-page pamphlet. >> a big part of this week, saying, i do have an agenda, responding to the romney criticism that he doesn't
helped him in 2008 against john mccain, who seemed so frenetic with the financial crisis. obama, mr. cool, mr. laid back. looks like he is calm in a crisis. you're saying this is a different obama we're seeing? >> yes. when the sun is shining, reality is different. what happened is that we heard the mantra for a long time now. we always knew this would be a close race. well, maybe his handlers did but obama never did. you have to believe inside. now came denver. he began to understand,...